https://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020SW002533">
 

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Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Abstract

An important location for future space weather monitoring is the Lagrange point 5 (L5) of the Sun-Earth system. We test the performance of L5 for space weather monitoring using STEREO B observations of an Earth-directed coronal mass ejection (CME), seen as a partial halo by SOHO at L1. STEREO B (located close to L5) continuously tracked the CME. By using these data in combination with methods to calculate the CME arrival time at the Earth (extrapolation, drag-based model, and a magnetohydrodynamic model), we demonstrate that the estimation of the CME arrival time can be drastically improved by adding L5 data. Based on the L1 data alone, one could predict that the CME would arrive at the Earth. Using only the L5 data, one would not expect an arrival, as the estimations of the CME 3-D configuration is uncertain. The combination of L1 and L5 data leads to an ambiguous prediction of the CME arrival due to low CME brightness in L1 data. To obtain an unambiguous prediction, one needs its 3-D configuration, from observing the CME material close to the plane of the sky from at least two viewpoints (in this case L5 and, coincidentally, L4). This event demonstrates that L1 observations may be better to determine CME arrival, but L5 observations are superior for constraining arrival time. In this work, the advantages and caveats of using data from a space weather monitor at L5 for predicting interplanetary propagation of CMEs are discussed and demonstrated in a direct case study.

Publication Date

7-23-2020

Journal Title

Space Weather

Publisher

AGU

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

https://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020SW002533

Document Type

Article

Comments

This is an article published by AGU in Space Weather in 2020, available online: https://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020SW002533

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