Abstract

In this data snapshot, author Kenneth Johnson reports that new data for 2020 show a 3.8 percent decline in births since 2019 and the fewest since 1979. There were 16.5 percent fewer births last year than in 2007, just before the Great Recession began to influence births. The cumulative effect of this sustained decline in births means over 7.6 million fewer babies were born in the last 13 years than might have been expected. This is unlikely to change in the short-term because of the pandemic’s adverse impact on fertility.

A critical long-term question is: how many births are being delayed, and how many will be foregone? This has implications for health care, schools, child-related businesses, and eventually for the labor force.

Department

Carsey School of Public Policy

Publication Date

Spring 5-10-2021

Series

Data Snapshot

Publisher

Durham, N.H. : Carsey School of Public Policy, University of New Hampshire

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

https://dx.doi.org/10.34051/p/2021.24

Document Type

Article

Rights

Copyright 2021. Carsey School of Public Policy. These materials may be used for the purposes of research, teaching, and private study. For all other uses, contact the copyright holder.

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