In this brief, authors Kenneth Johnson, Dante Scala, and Andrew Smith discuss demographic forces that are reshaping the New Hampshire landscape. They report that more than 20 percent of potential voters in the 2020 New Hampshire primary were either not old enough to vote in 2016 or resided somewhere other than New Hampshire. New Hampshire has one of the most mobile populations in the nation. Only one-third of New Hampshire residents age 25 and older were born in the state. Democratic presidential primary turnout in New Hampshire may hit record highs in 2020. Republican turnout, in contrast, is likely to be light, given the lack of serious competition for President Trump.
Carsey School of Public Policy
Regional Issue Brief #60
Durham, N.H. : Carsey School of Public Policy, University of New Hampshire
Johnson, Kenneth M.; Scala, Dante; and Smith, Andrew, "First in the Nation: New Hampshire’s Changing Electorate in Changing Times" (2019). The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository. 382.
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